Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), corroborated by KNMI guidance, show a tight cluster of 2-meter temperature maxima around 12–14°C for Amsterdam on May 16, driving trader consensus toward 13°C at 40.5% implied probability. Persistent northerly winds have advected cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea over northwest Europe, capping highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C amid scattered showers and partial cloud cover that reduce solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C maxima on May 13 and 14—reinforce model reliability, with low short-range uncertainty though urban heat island effects or clearing skies could nudge outcomes by 1°C. KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution criteria based on Schiphol Airport measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
13°C 41%
12°C 27%
14°C 21%
15°C 5.1%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
27%
13°C
41%
14°C
21%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 41%
12°C 27%
14°C 21%
15°C 5.1%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
8°C or below
$1,244 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$410 Vol.
1%
10°C
$844 Vol.
1%
11°C
$231 Vol.
4%
12°C
$627 Vol.
27%
13°C
$591 Vol.
41%
14°C
$221 Vol.
21%
15°C
$208 Vol.
5%
16°C
$298 Vol.
1%
17°C
$354 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$522 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), corroborated by KNMI guidance, show a tight cluster of 2-meter temperature maxima around 12–14°C for Amsterdam on May 16, driving trader consensus toward 13°C at 40.5% implied probability. Persistent northerly winds have advected cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea over northwest Europe, capping highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C amid scattered showers and partial cloud cover that reduce solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C maxima on May 13 and 14—reinforce model reliability, with low short-range uncertainty though urban heat island effects or clearing skies could nudge outcomes by 1°C. KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution criteria based on Schiphol Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
音量
$5,544終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), corroborated by KNMI guidance, show a tight cluster of 2-meter temperature maxima around 12–14°C for Amsterdam on May 16, driving trader consensus toward 13°C at 40.5% implied probability. Persistent northerly winds have advected cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea over northwest Europe, capping highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C amid scattered showers and partial cloud cover that reduce solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C maxima on May 13 and 14—reinforce model reliability, with low short-range uncertainty though urban heat island effects or clearing skies could nudge outcomes by 1°C. KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution criteria based on Schiphol Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,544終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), corroborated by KNMI guidance, show a tight cluster of 2-meter temperature maxima around 12–14°C for Amsterdam on May 16, driving trader consensus toward 13°C at 40.5% implied probability. Persistent northerly winds have advected cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea over northwest Europe, capping highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C amid scattered showers and partial cloud cover that reduce solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C maxima on May 13 and 14—reinforce model reliability, with low short-range uncertainty though urban heat island effects or clearing skies could nudge outcomes by 1°C. KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution criteria based on Schiphol Airport measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問