Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 17°C and 18°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF amid expected persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Current meteorological guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international outlets projects daytime highs near 19°C under a cool air mass and low-pressure influence, capping peaks below climatological mid-May norms of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon instability—earlier clearing favors 18°C, prolonged overcast 17°C—highlighting inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Evening model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 35%
18°C 32%
16°C 15%
19°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/05/15
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
15%
17°C
35%
18°C
32%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 35%
18°C 32%
16°C 15%
19°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/05/15
11°C or below
$307 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$219 Vol.
1%
14°C
$256 Vol.
1%
15°C
$302 Vol.
2%
16°C
$493 Vol.
15%
17°C
$462 Vol.
35%
18°C
$412 Vol.
32%
19°C
$267 Vol.
12%
20°C
$910 Vol.
4%
21°C or higher
$885 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 17°C and 18°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF amid expected persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Current meteorological guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international outlets projects daytime highs near 19°C under a cool air mass and low-pressure influence, capping peaks below climatological mid-May norms of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon instability—earlier clearing favors 18°C, prolonged overcast 17°C—highlighting inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Evening model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$4,925終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 17°C and 18°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF amid expected persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Current meteorological guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international outlets projects daytime highs near 19°C under a cool air mass and low-pressure influence, capping peaks below climatological mid-May norms of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon instability—earlier clearing favors 18°C, prolonged overcast 17°C—highlighting inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Evening model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,925終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 17°C and 18°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF amid expected persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. Current meteorological guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international outlets projects daytime highs near 19°C under a cool air mass and low-pressure influence, capping peaks below climatological mid-May norms of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon instability—earlier clearing favors 18°C, prolonged overcast 17°C—highlighting inherent uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and solar insolation. Evening model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問