Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 31–33°C due to varying model outputs from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global ensembles. MetMalaysia's latest advisory projects a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but aggregators like timeanddate indicate ~32°C peaks under overcast skies and 60%+ storm risk, potentially capping heating via convective cloud cover before 2–4 p.m. local time. Equatorial diurnal patterns, consistent May climatology averaging 32°C highs, and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with earlier storms favoring 31°C and delayed activity enabling 33°C+. New MetMalaysia and ECMWF/GFS updates expected overnight could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 16?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 16?
32°C 29%
33°C 28%
31°C 25%
34°C or higher 9%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
23%
32°C
29%
33°C
28%
34°C or higher
9%
32°C 29%
33°C 28%
31°C 25%
34°C or higher 9%
新規
新規
2026/05/16
24°C or below
$44 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$226 Vol.
1%
28°C
$133 Vol.
1%
29°C
$14 Vol.
3%
30°C
$25 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5 Vol.
23%
32°C
$18 Vol.
29%
33°C
$106 Vol.
28%
34°C or higher
$336 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 31–33°C due to varying model outputs from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global ensembles. MetMalaysia's latest advisory projects a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but aggregators like timeanddate indicate ~32°C peaks under overcast skies and 60%+ storm risk, potentially capping heating via convective cloud cover before 2–4 p.m. local time. Equatorial diurnal patterns, consistent May climatology averaging 32°C highs, and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with earlier storms favoring 31°C and delayed activity enabling 33°C+. New MetMalaysia and ECMWF/GFS updates expected overnight could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
音量
$1,177終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 31–33°C due to varying model outputs from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global ensembles. MetMalaysia's latest advisory projects a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but aggregators like timeanddate indicate ~32°C peaks under overcast skies and 60%+ storm risk, potentially capping heating via convective cloud cover before 2–4 p.m. local time. Equatorial diurnal patterns, consistent May climatology averaging 32°C highs, and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with earlier storms favoring 31°C and delayed activity enabling 33°C+. New MetMalaysia and ECMWF/GFS updates expected overnight could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,177終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 31–33°C due to varying model outputs from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and global ensembles. MetMalaysia's latest advisory projects a 34°C maximum amid isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but aggregators like timeanddate indicate ~32°C peaks under overcast skies and 60%+ storm risk, potentially capping heating via convective cloud cover before 2–4 p.m. local time. Equatorial diurnal patterns, consistent May climatology averaging 32°C highs, and urban heat island effects differentiate outcomes, with earlier storms favoring 31°C and delayed activity enabling 33°C+. New MetMalaysia and ECMWF/GFS updates expected overnight could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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