Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 14 at 21–25°C amid a frontal system bringing cloudy skies and 90% chance of showers following yesterday's 28°C+ peak, yet traders price 26°C at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability) due to CWA's historical conservatism, urban heat island effects amplifying readings at the airport station, and ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicating potential brief afternoon clearing for modest heating. Hourly CWA observations remain pivotal as the day progresses; prolonged heavy rain could suppress the max to 24°C or below, while sunnier breaks might push toward 27°C or higher, though such shifts appear unlikely per current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
$74,956 Vol.
$74,956 Vol.
2026/05/14
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
<1%
$74,956 Vol.
$74,956 Vol.
2026/05/14
26°C
$8,095 Vol.
100%
27°C or higher
$9,280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 14 at 21–25°C amid a frontal system bringing cloudy skies and 90% chance of showers following yesterday's 28°C+ peak, yet traders price 26°C at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability) due to CWA's historical conservatism, urban heat island effects amplifying readings at the airport station, and ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicating potential brief afternoon clearing for modest heating. Hourly CWA observations remain pivotal as the day progresses; prolonged heavy rain could suppress the max to 24°C or below, while sunnier breaks might push toward 27°C or higher, though such shifts appear unlikely per current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$74,956終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 14 at 21–25°C amid a frontal system bringing cloudy skies and 90% chance of showers following yesterday's 28°C+ peak, yet traders price 26°C at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability) due to CWA's historical conservatism, urban heat island effects amplifying readings at the airport station, and ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicating potential brief afternoon clearing for modest heating. Hourly CWA observations remain pivotal as the day progresses; prolonged heavy rain could suppress the max to 24°C or below, while sunnier breaks might push toward 27°C or higher, though such shifts appear unlikely per current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$74,956終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTaiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 14 at 21–25°C amid a frontal system bringing cloudy skies and 90% chance of showers following yesterday's 28°C+ peak, yet traders price 26°C at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability) due to CWA's historical conservatism, urban heat island effects amplifying readings at the airport station, and ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicating potential brief afternoon clearing for modest heating. Hourly CWA observations remain pivotal as the day progresses; prolonged heavy rain could suppress the max to 24°C or below, while sunnier breaks might push toward 27°C or higher, though such shifts appear unlikely per current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問