Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
25°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$66,442 Vol.
$66,442 Vol.
2026/05/14
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$66,442 Vol.
$66,442 Vol.
2026/05/14
23°C or below
$11,230 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,500 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,196 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$3,953 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,272 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,810 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,522 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,097 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,795 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,148 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$3,920 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
音量
$66,442終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$66,442終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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