Official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) Kaisaniemi station—the authoritative source for Helsinki temperatures—confirm a peak of 14°C early on May 14, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered sprinkles that suppressed further warming. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining to 10–12°C by afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from FMI and ECMWF indicating no rebound potential as solar heating wanes. This positions trader sentiment at virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for 14°C as the daily high, consistent with cool May climatology where averages hover near 15°C but variability arises from Baltic Sea influences. Realistic challenges are slim: only a post hoc revision from FMI or outlier reading from a secondary station like Helsinki-Vantaa could shift it, pending final daily report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 14?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$85,470 Vol.
$85,470 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$85,470 Vol.
$85,470 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) Kaisaniemi station—the authoritative source for Helsinki temperatures—confirm a peak of 14°C early on May 14, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered sprinkles that suppressed further warming. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining to 10–12°C by afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from FMI and ECMWF indicating no rebound potential as solar heating wanes. This positions trader sentiment at virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for 14°C as the daily high, consistent with cool May climatology where averages hover near 15°C but variability arises from Baltic Sea influences. Realistic challenges are slim: only a post hoc revision from FMI or outlier reading from a secondary station like Helsinki-Vantaa could shift it, pending final daily report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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