Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on May 14 near 21.5°C, fueling the tight race between 22°C (36%) and 21°C (32%) as traders weigh 1°C model spreads tied to afternoon cloud cover and shower timing. Overnight lows around 12°C, confirmed by morning observations, set a cool baseline for limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy conditions with 50-65% precipitation odds per Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance. Mid-May climatology averages 20-22°C highs, but scattered thunderstorms could cap peaks at 21°C by reducing solar insolation, while clearer intervals favor 22°C. Evening model runs and dawn soundings remain key before hourly station data resolves the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
22°C 33.3%
21°C 32%
23°C 15.3%
20°C 15%
$34,849 Vol.
$34,849 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
15%
21°C
32%
22°C
33%
23°C
15%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 33.3%
21°C 32%
23°C 15.3%
20°C 15%
$34,849 Vol.
$34,849 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
15%
21°C
32%
22°C
33%
23°C
15%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on May 14 near 21.5°C, fueling the tight race between 22°C (36%) and 21°C (32%) as traders weigh 1°C model spreads tied to afternoon cloud cover and shower timing. Overnight lows around 12°C, confirmed by morning observations, set a cool baseline for limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy conditions with 50-65% precipitation odds per Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance. Mid-May climatology averages 20-22°C highs, but scattered thunderstorms could cap peaks at 21°C by reducing solar insolation, while clearer intervals favor 22°C. Evening model runs and dawn soundings remain key before hourly station data resolves the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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