Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on May 13?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 13?
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$157,273 Vol.
$157,273 Vol.
2026/05/13
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$157,273 Vol.
$157,273 Vol.
2026/05/13
55°F or below
$4,729 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$3,942 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$4,368 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$8,276 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$9,435 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$12,238 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$20,308 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$22,029 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$25,334 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$24,674 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$21,939 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
音量
$157,273終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$157,273終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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