Strong market consensus around a 29°C high in Busan today reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration, which project a daytime maximum near 29°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm southerly flow. This setup favors modest warming from typical May climatology without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to suppress temperatures. Traders price only minimal probability for 30°C or higher because model runs show limited potential for stronger advection or reduced mixing. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or late-day convection that either enhances or caps the peak, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution tonight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月16日の釜山の最高気温は?
29°C 99.6%
30℃ <1%
31℃ <1%
32℃以上 <1%
$49,323 Vol.
$49,323 Vol.
29°C
100%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
29°C 99.6%
30℃ <1%
31℃ <1%
32℃以上 <1%
$49,323 Vol.
$49,323 Vol.
29°C
100%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Strong market consensus around a 29°C high in Busan today reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration, which project a daytime maximum near 29°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and warm southerly flow. This setup favors modest warming from typical May climatology without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to suppress temperatures. Traders price only minimal probability for 30°C or higher because model runs show limited potential for stronger advection or reduced mixing. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns or late-day convection that either enhances or caps the peak, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution tonight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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