Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF place Panama City’s May 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the climatological May average high of 31 °C at Marcos A. Gelabert Airport. Afternoon convective showers typical of the onset of the rainy season can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer periods allow readings to reach 33 °C or above. Relative humidity near 80 % and light steering winds limit extreme excursions, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 31–32 °C with only modest probability mass above 33 °C. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the balance between these outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
31°C 34%
32°C 29%
33°C or higher 22%
30°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
34%
32°C
29%
33°C or higher
22%
31°C 34%
32°C 29%
33°C or higher 22%
30°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
34%
32°C
29%
33°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF place Panama City’s May 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the climatological May average high of 31 °C at Marcos A. Gelabert Airport. Afternoon convective showers typical of the onset of the rainy season can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer periods allow readings to reach 33 °C or above. Relative humidity near 80 % and light steering winds limit extreme excursions, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 31–32 °C with only modest probability mass above 33 °C. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the balance between these outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問