Recent drier continental air from northern Central America, combined with maximum solar insolation at mid-May latitudes, has positioned Panama City's daily high near 34°C according to National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance. This setup favors subsidence and reduced cloud cover under an upper-level ridge, allowing efficient surface heating in the city's equatorial climate where May averages range 30–32°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports afternoon peaks at or above 33°C, driving the 69.5% implied probability for that threshold. Real-time airport observations at Marcos A. Gelabert station will confirm resolution, with only modest forecast uncertainty remaining from any late-day convection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on May 16?
33°C or higher 71%
32°C 20%
31°C 7%
30°C 1.3%
$10,473 Vol.
$10,473 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
71%
33°C or higher 71%
32°C 20%
31°C 7%
30°C 1.3%
$10,473 Vol.
$10,473 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent drier continental air from northern Central America, combined with maximum solar insolation at mid-May latitudes, has positioned Panama City's daily high near 34°C according to National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance. This setup favors subsidence and reduced cloud cover under an upper-level ridge, allowing efficient surface heating in the city's equatorial climate where May averages range 30–32°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles supports afternoon peaks at or above 33°C, driving the 69.5% implied probability for that threshold. Real-time airport observations at Marcos A. Gelabert station will confirm resolution, with only modest forecast uncertainty remaining from any late-day convection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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