Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows moderate activity levels in the May 11–17 window, with confirmed magnitude 5.5+ events including a shallow quake near Dalupiri Island in the Philippines and another in the Solomon Islands region, alongside scattered activity in the western Pacific and South America. These developments, combined with typical weekly baselines of roughly six to eight events worldwide above 5.5 on the moment magnitude scale, support the closely matched market-implied probabilities for six or seven total quakes. Traders weigh ongoing aftershock sequences and potential late-period detections against historical variability in tectonic plate boundaries, with final resolution hinging on the complete USGS catalog through the end of May 17.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
7 35.7%
6 34%
>9 15.0%
8 11.0%
$114,276 Vol.
$114,276 Vol.
2026/05/17
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
1%
6
34%
7
31%
8
16%
9
6%
>9
12%
7 35.7%
6 34%
>9 15.0%
8 11.0%
$114,276 Vol.
$114,276 Vol.
2026/05/17
≤3
$49,833 Vol.
<1%
4
$19,210 Vol.
<1%
5
$18,127 Vol.
1%
6
$1,418 Vol.
34%
7
$1,458 Vol.
31%
8
$3,965 Vol.
16%
9
$3,599 Vol.
6%
>9
$16,667 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows moderate activity levels in the May 11–17 window, with confirmed magnitude 5.5+ events including a shallow quake near Dalupiri Island in the Philippines and another in the Solomon Islands region, alongside scattered activity in the western Pacific and South America. These developments, combined with typical weekly baselines of roughly six to eight events worldwide above 5.5 on the moment magnitude scale, support the closely matched market-implied probabilities for six or seven total quakes. Traders weigh ongoing aftershock sequences and potential late-period detections against historical variability in tectonic plate boundaries, with final resolution hinging on the complete USGS catalog through the end of May 17.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日： May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$114,276終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows moderate activity levels in the May 11–17 window, with confirmed magnitude 5.5+ events including a shallow quake near Dalupiri Island in the Philippines and another in the Solomon Islands region, alongside scattered activity in the western Pacific and South America. These developments, combined with typical weekly baselines of roughly six to eight events worldwide above 5.5 on the moment magnitude scale, support the closely matched market-implied probabilities for six or seven total quakes. Traders weigh ongoing aftershock sequences and potential late-period detections against historical variability in tectonic plate boundaries, with final resolution hinging on the complete USGS catalog through the end of May 17.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
音量
$114,276終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows moderate activity levels in the May 11–17 window, with confirmed magnitude 5.5+ events including a shallow quake near Dalupiri Island in the Philippines and another in the Solomon Islands region, alongside scattered activity in the western Pacific and South America. These developments, combined with typical weekly baselines of roughly six to eight events worldwide above 5.5 on the moment magnitude scale, support the closely matched market-implied probabilities for six or seven total quakes. Traders weigh ongoing aftershock sequences and potential late-period detections against historical variability in tectonic plate boundaries, with final resolution hinging on the complete USGS catalog through the end of May 17.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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