Persistent low solar activity throughout May 10–16 drove trader consensus toward zero major events at 76.5% implied probability. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center data recorded only an isolated M5.7 flare from active region 4436 on May 10, which produced an R2 radio blackout but fell short of the R3 threshold. No G3+ geomagnetic storms or S3+ solar radiation storms occurred, with solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices keeping conditions quiet. Forecasters noted minimal coronal mass ejection impacts and no X-class flares capable of elevating severity levels, consistent with the market’s emphasis on official SWPC alerts for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
0 94%
4 25.8%
2 19.0%
3 6.0%
$1,025 Vol.
$1,025 Vol.
2026/05/16
0
76%
1
17%
2
10%
3
25%
4
26%
5
4%
6+
1%
0 94%
4 25.8%
2 19.0%
3 6.0%
$1,025 Vol.
$1,025 Vol.
2026/05/16
0
$625 Vol.
76%
1
$53 Vol.
17%
2
$61 Vol.
10%
3
$92 Vol.
25%
4
$59 Vol.
26%
5
$56 Vol.
4%
6+
$80 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Persistent low solar activity throughout May 10–16 drove trader consensus toward zero major events at 76.5% implied probability. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center data recorded only an isolated M5.7 flare from active region 4436 on May 10, which produced an R2 radio blackout but fell short of the R3 threshold. No G3+ geomagnetic storms or S3+ solar radiation storms occurred, with solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices keeping conditions quiet. Forecasters noted minimal coronal mass ejection impacts and no X-class flares capable of elevating severity levels, consistent with the market’s emphasis on official SWPC alerts for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
マーケット開始日： May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ET
音量
$1,025終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Persistent low solar activity throughout May 10–16 drove trader consensus toward zero major events at 76.5% implied probability. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center data recorded only an isolated M5.7 flare from active region 4436 on May 10, which produced an R2 radio blackout but fell short of the R3 threshold. No G3+ geomagnetic storms or S3+ solar radiation storms occurred, with solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices keeping conditions quiet. Forecasters noted minimal coronal mass ejection impacts and no X-class flares capable of elevating severity levels, consistent with the market’s emphasis on official SWPC alerts for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
音量
$1,025終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent low solar activity throughout May 10–16 drove trader consensus toward zero major events at 76.5% implied probability. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center data recorded only an isolated M5.7 flare from active region 4436 on May 10, which produced an R2 radio blackout but fell short of the R3 threshold. No G3+ geomagnetic storms or S3+ solar radiation storms occurred, with solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices keeping conditions quiet. Forecasters noted minimal coronal mass ejection impacts and no X-class flares capable of elevating severity levels, consistent with the market’s emphasis on official SWPC alerts for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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