Trader consensus heavily favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent Reuters reporting on March 10, 2026, that the company is weighing Nasdaq after seeking early inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index to boost post-IPO demand from index funds. This aligns with precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla, also on Nasdaq, and SpaceX's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 targeting a June debut at up to $2 trillion valuation amid Starlink expansion and reusable rocket milestones. Supporting factors include Nasdaq's tech-heavy ecosystem suiting SpaceX's satellite and orbital ambitions. Realistic challenges include a pivot to NYSE for its broader blue-chip appeal or niche exchanges like the Texas Stock Exchange, though no such indications have emerged; watch for the S-1 prospectus due May 15–22 for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日NASDAQ 96%
その他 4.1%
NYSE 1.3%
$100,073 Vol.
$100,073 Vol.
NASDAQ
96%
その他
4%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 96%
その他 4.1%
NYSE 1.3%
$100,073 Vol.
$100,073 Vol.
NASDAQ
96%
その他
4%
NYSE
1%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent Reuters reporting on March 10, 2026, that the company is weighing Nasdaq after seeking early inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index to boost post-IPO demand from index funds. This aligns with precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla, also on Nasdaq, and SpaceX's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 targeting a June debut at up to $2 trillion valuation amid Starlink expansion and reusable rocket milestones. Supporting factors include Nasdaq's tech-heavy ecosystem suiting SpaceX's satellite and orbital ambitions. Realistic challenges include a pivot to NYSE for its broader blue-chip appeal or niche exchanges like the Texas Stock Exchange, though no such indications have emerged; watch for the S-1 prospectus due May 15–22 for confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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