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icon for SpaceXのIPO決算時価総額(最低ストライキ)

SpaceXのIPO決算時価総額(最低ストライキ)

icon for SpaceXのIPO決算時価総額(最低ストライキ)

SpaceXのIPO決算時価総額(最低ストライキ)

1兆ドル超 94%

2028年より前のIPOなし 1.4%

8000億~9000億 1.3%

7000億~8000億 1.0%

Polymarket

$3,412,653 Vol.

1兆ドル超 94%

2028年より前のIPOなし 1.4%

8000億~9000億 1.3%

7000億~8000億 1.0%

Polymarket

$3,412,653 Vol.

5,000億ドル未満

$374,536 Vol.

<1%

5,000億〜6,000億

$319,935 Vol.

<1%

6000億~7000億

$292,413 Vol.

<1%

7000億~8000億

$331,555 Vol.

1%

8000億~9000億

$481,987 Vol.

1%

9,000億〜1兆

$418,715 Vol.

1%

1兆ドル超

$602,589 Vol.

94%

2028年より前のIPOなし

$590,922 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for a closing market cap above 1 trillion reflects the company’s confidential SEC filing in April and reported plans for a June 2026 listing targeting 1.5–2 trillion, fueled by Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth to millions worldwide and its control of over 80% of the commercial launch market. Analysts cite expanding revenue from satellite broadband services, reusable rocket operations, and potential synergies with related AI initiatives as key drivers of this premium valuation. Traders see limited near-term downside risk given the momentum, though realistic challenges include regulatory scrutiny on the filing timeline, broader market volatility affecting large IPOs, or slower-than-expected Starlink adoption in key regions that could compress final pricing below the trillion threshold.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$3,412,653
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for a closing market cap above 1 trillion reflects the company’s confidential SEC filing in April and reported plans for a June 2026 listing targeting 1.5–2 trillion, fueled by Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth to millions worldwide and its control of over 80% of the commercial launch market. Analysts cite expanding revenue from satellite broadband services, reusable rocket operations, and potential synergies with related AI initiatives as key drivers of this premium valuation. Traders see limited near-term downside risk given the momentum, though realistic challenges include regulatory scrutiny on the filing timeline, broader market volatility affecting large IPOs, or slower-than-expected Starlink adoption in key regions that could compress final pricing below the trillion threshold.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$3,412,653
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「SpaceXのIPO決算時価総額(最低ストライキ)」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1兆ドル超」で94%、次いで「7000億~8000億」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SpaceXのIPO決算時価総額(最低ストライキ)」は$3.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 6, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SpaceXのIPO決算時価総額(最低ストライキ)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SpaceXのIPO決算時価総額(最低ストライキ)」の現在のフロントランナーは「1兆ドル超」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「7000億~8000億」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SpaceXのIPO決算時価総額(最低ストライキ)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。