Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest between Goldman Sachs (43.5% implied probability) and Morgan Stanley (39.5%) as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster "Project Apex" IPO, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise in June 2026. Recent reports highlight both banks' starring roles in an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate, confirmed during Elon Musk's April 6 virtual banker meeting outlining a late-May S-1 prospectus, June 8 roadshow, and record 30% retail allocation. Morgan Stanley edges sentiment via its Tesla IPO legacy and E*Trade's retail distribution talks, while Goldman Sachs leverages prior SpaceX funding ties; Bank of America's lower 9.7% odds stem from secondary positioning. Final lead selection remains fluid amid competitive jockeying, with Starship milestones and prospectus details as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ゴールドマン・サックス 44%
モルガン・スタンレー 40%
バンク・オブ・アメリカ 9.8%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,721,623 Vol.
$1,721,623 Vol.
2027/12/31
ゴールドマン・サックス
44%
モルガン・スタンレー
40%
バンク・オブ・アメリカ
10%
JPMorgan
<1%
シティグループ
<1%
UBS
<1%
バークレイズ
<1%
ドイツ銀行
<1%
ウェルズ・ファーゴ
<1%
ゴールドマン・サックス 44%
モルガン・スタンレー 40%
バンク・オブ・アメリカ 9.8%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,721,623 Vol.
$1,721,623 Vol.
2027/12/31
ゴールドマン・サックス
$253,212 Vol.
44%
モルガン・スタンレー
$348,078 Vol.
40%
バンク・オブ・アメリカ
$71,533 Vol.
10%
JPMorgan
$310,325 Vol.
<1%
シティグループ
$192,969 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$99,034 Vol.
<1%
バークレイズ
$68,385 Vol.
<1%
ドイツ銀行
$313,716 Vol.
<1%
ウェルズ・ファーゴ
$64,371 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest between Goldman Sachs (43.5% implied probability) and Morgan Stanley (39.5%) as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster "Project Apex" IPO, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise in June 2026. Recent reports highlight both banks' starring roles in an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate, confirmed during Elon Musk's April 6 virtual banker meeting outlining a late-May S-1 prospectus, June 8 roadshow, and record 30% retail allocation. Morgan Stanley edges sentiment via its Tesla IPO legacy and E*Trade's retail distribution talks, while Goldman Sachs leverages prior SpaceX funding ties; Bank of America's lower 9.7% odds stem from secondary positioning. Final lead selection remains fluid amid competitive jockeying, with Starship milestones and prospectus details as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
音量
$1,721,623終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest between Goldman Sachs (43.5% implied probability) and Morgan Stanley (39.5%) as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster "Project Apex" IPO, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise in June 2026. Recent reports highlight both banks' starring roles in an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate, confirmed during Elon Musk's April 6 virtual banker meeting outlining a late-May S-1 prospectus, June 8 roadshow, and record 30% retail allocation. Morgan Stanley edges sentiment via its Tesla IPO legacy and E*Trade's retail distribution talks, while Goldman Sachs leverages prior SpaceX funding ties; Bank of America's lower 9.7% odds stem from secondary positioning. Final lead selection remains fluid amid competitive jockeying, with Starship milestones and prospectus details as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,721,623終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest between Goldman Sachs (43.5% implied probability) and Morgan Stanley (39.5%) as lead underwriter for SpaceX's blockbuster "Project Apex" IPO, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise in June 2026. Recent reports highlight both banks' starring roles in an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate, confirmed during Elon Musk's April 6 virtual banker meeting outlining a late-May S-1 prospectus, June 8 roadshow, and record 30% retail allocation. Morgan Stanley edges sentiment via its Tesla IPO legacy and E*Trade's retail distribution talks, while Goldman Sachs leverages prior SpaceX funding ties; Bank of America's lower 9.7% odds stem from secondary positioning. Final lead selection remains fluid amid competitive jockeying, with Starship milestones and prospectus details as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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