Cerebras Systems' IPO debut on May 14, 2026, priced shares at $185—nearly 50% above the initial $115-$125 range—raising $5.55 billion in the year's largest offering and surging 68-108% intraday, propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability of a $50 billion-plus closing market cap on Polymarket's lower strikes market. This positioning reflects explosive AI inference chip demand, a $10 billion OpenAI compute deal through 2028, 20x oversubscription, and a prior February Series H at $23 billion valuation amid Nvidia rivalry. Realistic challenges include a sharp volatility reversal before close or regulatory scrutiny, though momentum and $CBRS Nasdaq trading volume signal sustained strength ahead of full resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50B+ 100.0%
<$20B <1%
$20B–$30B <1%
$30B–$40B <1%
$156,692 Vol.
$156,692 Vol.
2026/05/14
<$20B
No
$20B–$30B
No
$30B–$40B
No
$40B–$50B
No
$50B+
Yes
No IPO before July 2026
No
$50B+ 100.0%
<$20B <1%
$20B–$30B <1%
$30B–$40B <1%
$156,692 Vol.
$156,692 Vol.
2026/05/14
<$20B
$15,771 Vol.
No
$20B–$30B
$29,893 Vol.
No
$30B–$40B
$16,236 Vol.
No
$40B–$50B
$29,224 Vol.
No
$50B+
$49,038 Vol.
Yes
No IPO before July 2026
$16,530 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Cerebras Systems' IPO debut on May 14, 2026, priced shares at $185—nearly 50% above the initial $115-$125 range—raising $5.55 billion in the year's largest offering and surging 68-108% intraday, propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability of a $50 billion-plus closing market cap on Polymarket's lower strikes market. This positioning reflects explosive AI inference chip demand, a $10 billion OpenAI compute deal through 2028, 20x oversubscription, and a prior February Series H at $23 billion valuation amid Nvidia rivalry. Realistic challenges include a sharp volatility reversal before close or regulatory scrutiny, though momentum and $CBRS Nasdaq trading volume signal sustained strength ahead of full resolution.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
音量
$156,692終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Cerebras Systems' IPO debut on May 14, 2026, priced shares at $185—nearly 50% above the initial $115-$125 range—raising $5.55 billion in the year's largest offering and surging 68-108% intraday, propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability of a $50 billion-plus closing market cap on Polymarket's lower strikes market. This positioning reflects explosive AI inference chip demand, a $10 billion OpenAI compute deal through 2028, 20x oversubscription, and a prior February Series H at $23 billion valuation amid Nvidia rivalry. Realistic challenges include a sharp volatility reversal before close or regulatory scrutiny, though momentum and $CBRS Nasdaq trading volume signal sustained strength ahead of full resolution.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$156,692終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Cerebras Systems' IPO debut on May 14, 2026, priced shares at $185—nearly 50% above the initial $115-$125 range—raising $5.55 billion in the year's largest offering and surging 68-108% intraday, propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability of a $50 billion-plus closing market cap on Polymarket's lower strikes market. This positioning reflects explosive AI inference chip demand, a $10 billion OpenAI compute deal through 2028, 20x oversubscription, and a prior February Series H at $23 billion valuation amid Nvidia rivalry. Realistic challenges include a sharp volatility reversal before close or regulatory scrutiny, though momentum and $CBRS Nasdaq trading volume signal sustained strength ahead of full resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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