Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50-60 billion dollar IPO raise for SpaceX at 37.1% implied probability, reflecting caution around aggressive $1.75 trillion valuation targets amid secondary market pricing of roughly 1.2-1.3 trillion dollars as of May 14, with Forge shares at $642. Recent confidential S-1 filing in April 2026 revealed $24.8 billion cash reserves, Starlink revenue projections nearing $24 billion for 2026, and heavy $20 billion-plus AI capex, fueling 70-80 billion dollar odds at 23% on filing hype but capping enthusiasm due to Musk's dual-class control and Starship execution risks. Public S-1 expected week of May 18, with June roadshow as key catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$138,944 Vol.
$138,944 Vol.
400億ドル未満
12%
400～500億ドル
6%
500億〜600億ドル
39%
600億～700億ドル
10%
700～800億ドル
23%
800億〜900億ドル
19%
900億〜1,000億
6%
1,000億〜1,100億ドル
3%
1,100〜1,200億ドル
4%
1,200億ドル以上
8%
$138,944 Vol.
$138,944 Vol.
400億ドル未満
$10,245 Vol.
12%
400～500億ドル
$5,642 Vol.
6%
500億〜600億ドル
$33,182 Vol.
39%
600億～700億ドル
$14,185 Vol.
10%
700～800億ドル
$24,628 Vol.
23%
800億〜900億ドル
$15,593 Vol.
19%
900億〜1,000億
$10,727 Vol.
6%
1,000億〜1,100億ドル
$7,565 Vol.
3%
1,100〜1,200億ドル
$9,411 Vol.
4%
1,200億ドル以上
$7,767 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50-60 billion dollar IPO raise for SpaceX at 37.1% implied probability, reflecting caution around aggressive $1.75 trillion valuation targets amid secondary market pricing of roughly 1.2-1.3 trillion dollars as of May 14, with Forge shares at $642. Recent confidential S-1 filing in April 2026 revealed $24.8 billion cash reserves, Starlink revenue projections nearing $24 billion for 2026, and heavy $20 billion-plus AI capex, fueling 70-80 billion dollar odds at 23% on filing hype but capping enthusiasm due to Musk's dual-class control and Starship execution risks. Public S-1 expected week of May 18, with June roadshow as key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
音量
$138,944マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50-60 billion dollar IPO raise for SpaceX at 37.1% implied probability, reflecting caution around aggressive $1.75 trillion valuation targets amid secondary market pricing of roughly 1.2-1.3 trillion dollars as of May 14, with Forge shares at $642. Recent confidential S-1 filing in April 2026 revealed $24.8 billion cash reserves, Starlink revenue projections nearing $24 billion for 2026, and heavy $20 billion-plus AI capex, fueling 70-80 billion dollar odds at 23% on filing hype but capping enthusiasm due to Musk's dual-class control and Starship execution risks. Public S-1 expected week of May 18, with June roadshow as key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$138,944マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50-60 billion dollar IPO raise for SpaceX at 37.1% implied probability, reflecting caution around aggressive $1.75 trillion valuation targets amid secondary market pricing of roughly 1.2-1.3 trillion dollars as of May 14, with Forge shares at $642. Recent confidential S-1 filing in April 2026 revealed $24.8 billion cash reserves, Starlink revenue projections nearing $24 billion for 2026, and heavy $20 billion-plus AI capex, fueling 70-80 billion dollar odds at 23% on filing hype but capping enthusiasm due to Musk's dual-class control and Starship execution risks. Public S-1 expected week of May 18, with June roadshow as key catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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