Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation for SpaceX at 55.5% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026 targeting a June listing to raise $50-75 billion, up from its $800 billion December 2025 tender offer valuation. Escalating secondary market pricing—now in the trillion-dollar range per Forge Global—and major institutional bets like Brookfield's $2 billion stake ahead of the IPO have fueled optimism around Starlink's subscriber growth and reusable rocket dominance. Nearby bins at 2.00-2.25T (27%) and 1.50-1.75T (21.7%) reflect debate over final pricing amid SEC review, with roadshow details and macroeconomic risk appetite as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.75～2.00兆 57%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 17.8%
1.50～1.75兆 15.7%
2.00〜2.25兆 11%
$132,990 Vol.
$132,990 Vol.
1.25兆未満
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
4%
1.50～1.75兆
22%
1.75～2.00兆
57%
2.00〜2.25兆
28%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
18%
2.50兆ドル以上
5%
1.75～2.00兆 57%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 17.8%
1.50～1.75兆 15.7%
2.00〜2.25兆 11%
$132,990 Vol.
$132,990 Vol.
1.25兆未満
$60,323 Vol.
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
$16,039 Vol.
4%
1.50～1.75兆
$8,945 Vol.
22%
1.75～2.00兆
$12,910 Vol.
57%
2.00〜2.25兆
$13,938 Vol.
28%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
$10,055 Vol.
18%
2.50兆ドル以上
$10,779 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation for SpaceX at 55.5% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026 targeting a June listing to raise $50-75 billion, up from its $800 billion December 2025 tender offer valuation. Escalating secondary market pricing—now in the trillion-dollar range per Forge Global—and major institutional bets like Brookfield's $2 billion stake ahead of the IPO have fueled optimism around Starlink's subscriber growth and reusable rocket dominance. Nearby bins at 2.00-2.25T (27%) and 1.50-1.75T (21.7%) reflect debate over final pricing amid SEC review, with roadshow details and macroeconomic risk appetite as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$132,990マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation for SpaceX at 55.5% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026 targeting a June listing to raise $50-75 billion, up from its $800 billion December 2025 tender offer valuation. Escalating secondary market pricing—now in the trillion-dollar range per Forge Global—and major institutional bets like Brookfield's $2 billion stake ahead of the IPO have fueled optimism around Starlink's subscriber growth and reusable rocket dominance. Nearby bins at 2.00-2.25T (27%) and 1.50-1.75T (21.7%) reflect debate over final pricing amid SEC review, with roadshow details and macroeconomic risk appetite as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$132,990マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation for SpaceX at 55.5% implied probability, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026 targeting a June listing to raise $50-75 billion, up from its $800 billion December 2025 tender offer valuation. Escalating secondary market pricing—now in the trillion-dollar range per Forge Global—and major institutional bets like Brookfield's $2 billion stake ahead of the IPO have fueled optimism around Starlink's subscriber growth and reusable rocket dominance. Nearby bins at 2.00-2.25T (27%) and 1.50-1.75T (21.7%) reflect debate over final pricing amid SEC review, with roadshow details and macroeconomic risk appetite as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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