Recent Reuters reporting that SpaceX has accelerated its IPO timeline, targeting a Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a June outcome at 93% implied probability. The company plans to file its S-1 as soon as next week, launch the roadshow around June 4, and price shares by June 11, aligning with strong institutional demand and a potential record valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion. This positions June as the clear frontrunner, supported by the tight execution window before mid-year market volatility. While the current odds reflect robust skin-in-the-game sentiment, realistic risks such as SEC filing delays, adverse equity market conditions, or shifts in Elon Musk’s dual-class share structure could still push resolution into July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月 93%
7月 6.3%
2027年以前にIPOなし <1%
9月 <1%
$361,362 Vol.
$361,362 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
93%
7月
6%
8月
<1%
9月
1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
6月 93%
7月 6.3%
2027年以前にIPOなし <1%
9月 <1%
$361,362 Vol.
$361,362 Vol.
5月
<1%
6月
93%
7月
6%
8月
<1%
9月
1%
10月
<1%
11月
<1%
12月
<1%
2027年以前にIPOなし
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Reuters reporting that SpaceX has accelerated its IPO timeline, targeting a Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a June outcome at 93% implied probability. The company plans to file its S-1 as soon as next week, launch the roadshow around June 4, and price shares by June 11, aligning with strong institutional demand and a potential record valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion. This positions June as the clear frontrunner, supported by the tight execution window before mid-year market volatility. While the current odds reflect robust skin-in-the-game sentiment, realistic risks such as SEC filing delays, adverse equity market conditions, or shifts in Elon Musk’s dual-class share structure could still push resolution into July.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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