Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a dominant 74% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow launch since the company's confidential submission in January 2026, leaving just six weeks to resolution amid a compressed secondary valuation of $7-10 billion—down from $15 billion in 2021. Monetization challenges persist despite 150 million monthly active users, with revenue growth lagging at around $600-800 million annually due to gaming-centric branding and limited enterprise penetration, as highlighted in recent analyst notes urging a Slack-like pivot. Among IPO outcomes, sub-$15 billion market cap leads at 12%, reflecting downround risks in social platforms; watch for S-1 disclosures or pricing signals as key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 75%
150億ドル未満 11.1%
250〜300億ドル 5.1%
150～200億ドル 4.1%
$889,728 Vol.
$889,728 Vol.
2026/06/30
150億ドル未満
11%
150～200億ドル
4%
200～250億ドル
<1%
250〜300億ドル
5%
300億ドル以上
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
75%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 75%
150億ドル未満 11.1%
250〜300億ドル 5.1%
150～200億ドル 4.1%
$889,728 Vol.
$889,728 Vol.
2026/06/30
150億ドル未満
$298,463 Vol.
11%
150～200億ドル
$109,427 Vol.
4%
200～250億ドル
$74,403 Vol.
<1%
250〜300億ドル
$113,018 Vol.
5%
300億ドル以上
$100,260 Vol.
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$194,157 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a dominant 74% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow launch since the company's confidential submission in January 2026, leaving just six weeks to resolution amid a compressed secondary valuation of $7-10 billion—down from $15 billion in 2021. Monetization challenges persist despite 150 million monthly active users, with revenue growth lagging at around $600-800 million annually due to gaming-centric branding and limited enterprise penetration, as highlighted in recent analyst notes urging a Slack-like pivot. Among IPO outcomes, sub-$15 billion market cap leads at 12%, reflecting downround risks in social platforms; watch for S-1 disclosures or pricing signals as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
音量
$889,728終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a dominant 74% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow launch since the company's confidential submission in January 2026, leaving just six weeks to resolution amid a compressed secondary valuation of $7-10 billion—down from $15 billion in 2021. Monetization challenges persist despite 150 million monthly active users, with revenue growth lagging at around $600-800 million annually due to gaming-centric branding and limited enterprise penetration, as highlighted in recent analyst notes urging a Slack-like pivot. Among IPO outcomes, sub-$15 billion market cap leads at 12%, reflecting downround risks in social platforms; watch for S-1 disclosures or pricing signals as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$889,728終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a dominant 74% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow launch since the company's confidential submission in January 2026, leaving just six weeks to resolution amid a compressed secondary valuation of $7-10 billion—down from $15 billion in 2021. Monetization challenges persist despite 150 million monthly active users, with revenue growth lagging at around $600-800 million annually due to gaming-centric branding and limited enterprise penetration, as highlighted in recent analyst notes urging a Slack-like pivot. Among IPO outcomes, sub-$15 billion market cap leads at 12%, reflecting downround risks in social platforms; watch for S-1 disclosures or pricing signals as key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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