Safepoint Holdings filed its S-1 in early May 2026 and launched its IPO roadshow later that month, targeting a valuation up to $1.16 billion via 16.67 million shares priced at $15–$17, supported by rapid premium growth to over $1 billion in force and strong Q1 net income of $48 million. The planned early-June NYSE listing under ticker SFPT has since been postponed with no rescheduling announced as of mid-June, driving the 90.6% market-implied probability of no closing before August 2026. This reflects trader consensus on typical delays in specialty insurance offerings amid volatile coastal reinsurance markets. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a swift restart of book-building, favorable Florida regulatory tailwinds, or improved investor appetite lifting the deal within the targeted $900 million–$1.3 billion range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No IPO before August 2026 90.6%
$900M–$1.1B 3.6%
<$900M 3.5%
$1.1B–$1.3B 2.6%
$33,192 Vol.
$33,192 Vol.
2026/06/04
<$900M
4%
$900M–$1.1B
4%
$1.1B–$1.3B
3%
$1.3B–$1.5B
3%
$1.5B–$1.7B
2%
$1.7B+
3%
No IPO before August 2026
91%
No IPO before August 2026 90.6%
$900M–$1.1B 3.6%
<$900M 3.5%
$1.1B–$1.3B 2.6%
$33,192 Vol.
$33,192 Vol.
2026/06/04
<$900M
$728 Vol.
4%
$900M–$1.1B
$8,483 Vol.
4%
$1.1B–$1.3B
$8,281 Vol.
3%
$1.3B–$1.5B
$1,169 Vol.
3%
$1.5B–$1.7B
$1,149 Vol.
2%
$1.7B+
$543 Vol.
3%
No IPO before August 2026
$12,839 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Safepoint Holdings filed its S-1 in early May 2026 and launched its IPO roadshow later that month, targeting a valuation up to $1.16 billion via 16.67 million shares priced at $15–$17, supported by rapid premium growth to over $1 billion in force and strong Q1 net income of $48 million. The planned early-June NYSE listing under ticker SFPT has since been postponed with no rescheduling announced as of mid-June, driving the 90.6% market-implied probability of no closing before August 2026. This reflects trader consensus on typical delays in specialty insurance offerings amid volatile coastal reinsurance markets. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a swift restart of book-building, favorable Florida regulatory tailwinds, or improved investor appetite lifting the deal within the targeted $900 million–$1.3 billion range.
This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： May 27, 2026, 10:32 PM ET
音量
$33,192終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 10:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Safepoint Holdings filed its S-1 in early May 2026 and launched its IPO roadshow later that month, targeting a valuation up to $1.16 billion via 16.67 million shares priced at $15–$17, supported by rapid premium growth to over $1 billion in force and strong Q1 net income of $48 million. The planned early-June NYSE listing under ticker SFPT has since been postponed with no rescheduling announced as of mid-June, driving the 90.6% market-implied probability of no closing before August 2026. This reflects trader consensus on typical delays in specialty insurance offerings amid volatile coastal reinsurance markets. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a swift restart of book-building, favorable Florida regulatory tailwinds, or improved investor appetite lifting the deal within the targeted $900 million–$1.3 billion range.
This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$33,192終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 10:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Safepoint Holdings filed its S-1 in early May 2026 and launched its IPO roadshow later that month, targeting a valuation up to $1.16 billion via 16.67 million shares priced at $15–$17, supported by rapid premium growth to over $1 billion in force and strong Q1 net income of $48 million. The planned early-June NYSE listing under ticker SFPT has since been postponed with no rescheduling announced as of mid-June, driving the 90.6% market-implied probability of no closing before August 2026. This reflects trader consensus on typical delays in specialty insurance offerings amid volatile coastal reinsurance markets. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a swift restart of book-building, favorable Florida regulatory tailwinds, or improved investor appetite lifting the deal within the targeted $900 million–$1.3 billion range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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