Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around a $2 trillion-plus SpaceX IPO market cap, driven by the company's April confidential S-1 filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—the largest in history—fueled by Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $22–24 billion projected for 2026 from its global satellite broadband constellation. Recent CNBC reporting of a potential prospectus release next week and June 8 roadshow has intensified positioning, with top bins (2.0T–2.5T at 32.5%, 1.5T–2.0T at 23.5%) reflecting debate over Starship reusability milestones, NASA contracts, and competitive dominance against Blue Origin in reusable launch vehicles. Key swing factors include prospectus disclosures on AI integration and multi-planetary ambitions versus execution risks like regulatory hurdles for Starlink expansion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,979,232 Vol.
$1,979,232 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
5%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
8%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
24%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
33%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
18%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
12%
3.5兆ドル以上
2%
2028年以前に上場しない
1%
$1,979,232 Vol.
$1,979,232 Vol.
1兆ドル未満
$73,628 Vol.
5%
1.0兆ドル〜1.5兆ドル
$64,751 Vol.
8%
1.5兆～2.0兆ドル
$75,026 Vol.
24%
2.0兆～2.5兆ドル
$101,298 Vol.
33%
2.5兆〜3.0兆ドル
$820,473 Vol.
18%
3.0兆ドル～3.5兆ドル
$490,213 Vol.
12%
3.5兆ドル以上
$72,513 Vol.
2%
2028年以前に上場しない
$281,333 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around a $2 trillion-plus SpaceX IPO market cap, driven by the company's April confidential S-1 filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—the largest in history—fueled by Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $22–24 billion projected for 2026 from its global satellite broadband constellation. Recent CNBC reporting of a potential prospectus release next week and June 8 roadshow has intensified positioning, with top bins (2.0T–2.5T at 32.5%, 1.5T–2.0T at 23.5%) reflecting debate over Starship reusability milestones, NASA contracts, and competitive dominance against Blue Origin in reusable launch vehicles. Key swing factors include prospectus disclosures on AI integration and multi-planetary ambitions versus execution risks like regulatory hurdles for Starlink expansion.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
音量
$1,979,232マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around a $2 trillion-plus SpaceX IPO market cap, driven by the company's April confidential S-1 filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—the largest in history—fueled by Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $22–24 billion projected for 2026 from its global satellite broadband constellation. Recent CNBC reporting of a potential prospectus release next week and June 8 roadshow has intensified positioning, with top bins (2.0T–2.5T at 32.5%, 1.5T–2.0T at 23.5%) reflecting debate over Starship reusability milestones, NASA contracts, and competitive dominance against Blue Origin in reusable launch vehicles. Key swing factors include prospectus disclosures on AI integration and multi-planetary ambitions versus execution risks like regulatory hurdles for Starlink expansion.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,979,232マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around a $2 trillion-plus SpaceX IPO market cap, driven by the company's April confidential S-1 filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation—the largest in history—fueled by Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $22–24 billion projected for 2026 from its global satellite broadband constellation. Recent CNBC reporting of a potential prospectus release next week and June 8 roadshow has intensified positioning, with top bins (2.0T–2.5T at 32.5%, 1.5T–2.0T at 23.5%) reflecting debate over Starship reusability milestones, NASA contracts, and competitive dominance against Blue Origin in reusable launch vehicles. Key swing factors include prospectus disclosures on AI integration and multi-planetary ambitions versus execution risks like regulatory hurdles for Starlink expansion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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