Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026, driven primarily by reports of its ongoing negotiations for a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion post-money—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 2026 raise. This shift stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate surging past $30 billion, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models across eight Fortune 10 firms, outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion amid superior margins and projected positive cash flow by 2027. Secondary market trading implies Anthropic above $1 trillion, reflecting FOMO on its growth trajectory. Key catalysts include funding round closure and competing model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 versus GPT-5.5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$59,182 Vol.
$59,182 Vol.
2026/12/31
$59,182 Vol.
$59,182 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026, driven primarily by reports of its ongoing negotiations for a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion post-money—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 2026 raise. This shift stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate surging past $30 billion, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models across eight Fortune 10 firms, outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion amid superior margins and projected positive cash flow by 2027. Secondary market trading implies Anthropic above $1 trillion, reflecting FOMO on its growth trajectory. Key catalysts include funding round closure and competing model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 versus GPT-5.5.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
音量
$59,182終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026, driven primarily by reports of its ongoing negotiations for a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion post-money—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 2026 raise. This shift stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate surging past $30 billion, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models across eight Fortune 10 firms, outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion amid superior margins and projected positive cash flow by 2027. Secondary market trading implies Anthropic above $1 trillion, reflecting FOMO on its growth trajectory. Key catalysts include funding round closure and competing model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 versus GPT-5.5.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$59,182終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to Anthropic achieving a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026, driven primarily by reports of its ongoing negotiations for a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion post-money—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 2026 raise. This shift stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate surging past $30 billion, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models across eight Fortune 10 firms, outpacing OpenAI's $25 billion amid superior margins and projected positive cash flow by 2027. Secondary market trading implies Anthropic above $1 trillion, reflecting FOMO on its growth trajectory. Key catalysts include funding round closure and competing model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 versus GPT-5.5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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