Skip to main content
icon for Anthropicの「サプライチェーンリスク」の指定は...によって削除されましたか?

Anthropicの「サプライチェーンリスク」の指定は...によって削除されましたか?

icon for Anthropicの「サプライチェーンリスク」の指定は...によって削除されましたか?

Anthropicの「サプライチェーンリスク」の指定は...によって削除されましたか?

$13,431 Vol.

2026/05/31
Polymarket

$13,431 Vol.

Polymarket

5月31日

$1,705 Vol.

26%

On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic faces ongoing uncertainty over its Pentagon “supply chain risk” label, imposed in early March 2026 after the company refused to drop AI safety limits on Claude that blocked use in mass domestic surveillance or fully autonomous lethal weapons. A California federal judge granted a preliminary injunction in late March, temporarily lifting the designation and giving Anthropic leverage with customers, but the Pentagon appealed to the Ninth Circuit while a parallel § 4713 designation under the Federal Acquisition Supply Chain Security Act remains active pending D.C. Circuit review. Recent moves by the Department of Defense to expand classified AI contracts with rivals OpenAI, Google, and xAI underscore competitive pressure, while a narrow carve-out for Anthropic’s Mythos cybersecurity model suggests selective pragmatism. Traders are watching upcoming appeals rulings and any settlement talks, as resolution hinges on whether courts uphold or overturn the unprecedented domestic-company designation before the market’s deadline.

On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling.

Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify.

Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$13,431
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic faces ongoing uncertainty over its Pentagon “supply chain risk” label, imposed in early March 2026 after the company refused to drop AI safety limits on Claude that blocked use in mass domestic surveillance or fully autonomous lethal weapons. A California federal judge granted a preliminary injunction in late March, temporarily lifting the designation and giving Anthropic leverage with customers, but the Pentagon appealed to the Ninth Circuit while a parallel § 4713 designation under the Federal Acquisition Supply Chain Security Act remains active pending D.C. Circuit review. Recent moves by the Department of Defense to expand classified AI contracts with rivals OpenAI, Google, and xAI underscore competitive pressure, while a narrow carve-out for Anthropic’s Mythos cybersecurity model suggests selective pragmatism. Traders are watching upcoming appeals rulings and any settlement talks, as resolution hinges on whether courts uphold or overturn the unprecedented domestic-company designation before the market’s deadline.

On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling.

Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify.

Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$13,431
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Anthropicの「サプライチェーンリスク」の指定は...によって削除されましたか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5月31日」で26%、次いで「5月8日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、26¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に26%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Anthropicの「サプライチェーンリスク」の指定は...によって削除されましたか?」は$13.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Anthropicの「サプライチェーンリスク」の指定は...によって削除されましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Anthropicの「サプライチェーンリスク」の指定は...によって削除されましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「5月31日」で26%であり、市場がこの結果に26%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5月8日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Anthropicの「サプライチェーンリスク」の指定は...によって削除されましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。