Trader sentiment on Claude downtime days in May remains tightly contested, with 12+ days at 41.5% slightly edging 6-8 days at 36.4%, driven by Anthropic's ongoing infrastructure strains amid explosive demand for its Claude 3.5 large language models. Recent elevated error incidents on May 8 and May 13—confirmed via user reports and Downdetector spikes—have heightened expectations for frequent disruptions, despite 99.44% monthly uptime so far. A key catalyst is Anthropic's early-May access to xAI's Colossus supercomputer, boosting capacity and easing rate limits, yet traders doubt it will fully mitigate scaling issues versus rivals like OpenAI's more reliable GPT series. Competitive pressures favor Claude's superior coding and safety benchmarks but penalize its uptime lags, leaving resolution hinging on late-May load patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日12回以上 31%
9〜11 31%
6～8 20.5%
3～5 16.3%
$33,491 Vol.
$33,491 Vol.
2026/05/31
3～5
14%
6～8
36%
9〜11
31%
12回以上
42%
12回以上 31%
9〜11 31%
6～8 20.5%
3～5 16.3%
$33,491 Vol.
$33,491 Vol.
2026/05/31
3～5
$3,858 Vol.
14%
6～8
$1,093 Vol.
36%
9〜11
$659 Vol.
31%
12回以上
$4,982 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader sentiment on Claude downtime days in May remains tightly contested, with 12+ days at 41.5% slightly edging 6-8 days at 36.4%, driven by Anthropic's ongoing infrastructure strains amid explosive demand for its Claude 3.5 large language models. Recent elevated error incidents on May 8 and May 13—confirmed via user reports and Downdetector spikes—have heightened expectations for frequent disruptions, despite 99.44% monthly uptime so far. A key catalyst is Anthropic's early-May access to xAI's Colossus supercomputer, boosting capacity and easing rate limits, yet traders doubt it will fully mitigate scaling issues versus rivals like OpenAI's more reliable GPT series. Competitive pressures favor Claude's superior coding and safety benchmarks but penalize its uptime lags, leaving resolution hinging on late-May load patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
音量
$33,491終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader sentiment on Claude downtime days in May remains tightly contested, with 12+ days at 41.5% slightly edging 6-8 days at 36.4%, driven by Anthropic's ongoing infrastructure strains amid explosive demand for its Claude 3.5 large language models. Recent elevated error incidents on May 8 and May 13—confirmed via user reports and Downdetector spikes—have heightened expectations for frequent disruptions, despite 99.44% monthly uptime so far. A key catalyst is Anthropic's early-May access to xAI's Colossus supercomputer, boosting capacity and easing rate limits, yet traders doubt it will fully mitigate scaling issues versus rivals like OpenAI's more reliable GPT series. Competitive pressures favor Claude's superior coding and safety benchmarks but penalize its uptime lags, leaving resolution hinging on late-May load patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
音量
$33,491終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Claude downtime days in May remains tightly contested, with 12+ days at 41.5% slightly edging 6-8 days at 36.4%, driven by Anthropic's ongoing infrastructure strains amid explosive demand for its Claude 3.5 large language models. Recent elevated error incidents on May 8 and May 13—confirmed via user reports and Downdetector spikes—have heightened expectations for frequent disruptions, despite 99.44% monthly uptime so far. A key catalyst is Anthropic's early-May access to xAI's Colossus supercomputer, boosting capacity and easing rate limits, yet traders doubt it will fully mitigate scaling issues versus rivals like OpenAI's more reliable GPT series. Competitive pressures favor Claude's superior coding and safety benchmarks but penalize its uptime lags, leaving resolution hinging on late-May load patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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