OpenAI's accelerated release cadence has traders betting heavily on timely frontier model drops, exemplified by GPT-5.5's launch on April 23, 2026—promising agentic AI with reduced hallucinations—followed swiftly by GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's new default on May 5 and GPT-5.5-Cyber for enterprise security on May 7. This marks a shift from prior slower cycles, with CEO Sam Altman signaling "significant short-term improvements," driven by competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus 4.7 and escalating AI infrastructure demands. Recent focus on Codex integrations and safety updates suggests no immediate successor announcement, but enterprise adoption metrics and developer conferences could catalyze the next reveal before year-end deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,243 Vol.
2026/05/31
5月31日
20%
June 30
72%
September 30
94%
$10,243 Vol.
5月31日
$2,156 Vol.
20%
June 30
$2,467 Vol.
72%
September 30
$5,620 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated release cadence has traders betting heavily on timely frontier model drops, exemplified by GPT-5.5's launch on April 23, 2026—promising agentic AI with reduced hallucinations—followed swiftly by GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's new default on May 5 and GPT-5.5-Cyber for enterprise security on May 7. This marks a shift from prior slower cycles, with CEO Sam Altman signaling "significant short-term improvements," driven by competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus 4.7 and escalating AI infrastructure demands. Recent focus on Codex integrations and safety updates suggests no immediate successor announcement, but enterprise adoption metrics and developer conferences could catalyze the next reveal before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
音量
$10,243終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated release cadence has traders betting heavily on timely frontier model drops, exemplified by GPT-5.5's launch on April 23, 2026—promising agentic AI with reduced hallucinations—followed swiftly by GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's new default on May 5 and GPT-5.5-Cyber for enterprise security on May 7. This marks a shift from prior slower cycles, with CEO Sam Altman signaling "significant short-term improvements," driven by competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus 4.7 and escalating AI infrastructure demands. Recent focus on Codex integrations and safety updates suggests no immediate successor announcement, but enterprise adoption metrics and developer conferences could catalyze the next reveal before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$10,243終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's accelerated release cadence has traders betting heavily on timely frontier model drops, exemplified by GPT-5.5's launch on April 23, 2026—promising agentic AI with reduced hallucinations—followed swiftly by GPT-5.5 Instant as ChatGPT's new default on May 5 and GPT-5.5-Cyber for enterprise security on May 7. This marks a shift from prior slower cycles, with CEO Sam Altman signaling "significant short-term improvements," driven by competitive pressure from Anthropic's Opus 4.7 and escalating AI infrastructure demands. Recent focus on Codex integrations and safety updates suggests no immediate successor announcement, but enterprise adoption metrics and developer conferences could catalyze the next reveal before year-end deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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