Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus for the strongest coding-focused AI model by end of May, driven by its Claude series' repeated benchmark leadership in real-world software engineering tasks such as multi-file refactoring and complex algorithm implementation. Recent model updates have delivered measurable gains in code accuracy and context handling over competing large language models, reinforcing developer preference and third-party evaluations. This positioning reflects sustained progress in areas like tool integration and error reduction. A late-month release from OpenAI or Google introducing comparable capabilities could still narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 94.6%
OpenAI 2.8%
Google 2.2%
DeepSeek <1%
$33,663 Vol.
$33,663 Vol.

Anthropic
95%

OpenAI
3%

2%

DeepSeek
1%

Moonshot
1%

Z.ai
<1%

xAI
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Meta
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 94.6%
OpenAI 2.8%
Google 2.2%
DeepSeek <1%
$33,663 Vol.
$33,663 Vol.

Anthropic
95%

OpenAI
3%

2%

DeepSeek
1%

Moonshot
1%

Z.ai
<1%

xAI
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Meta
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus for the strongest coding-focused AI model by end of May, driven by its Claude series' repeated benchmark leadership in real-world software engineering tasks such as multi-file refactoring and complex algorithm implementation. Recent model updates have delivered measurable gains in code accuracy and context handling over competing large language models, reinforcing developer preference and third-party evaluations. This positioning reflects sustained progress in areas like tool integration and error reduction. A late-month release from OpenAI or Google introducing comparable capabilities could still narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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