Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.2% that Pluto will not be reclassified as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) longstanding 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—a criterion Pluto fails amid Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman's April 28 Senate testimony advocating a review and new scientific papers to challenge the status quo, yet NASA lacks authority over IAU classifications, with no scheduled IAU votes, assemblies, or proposals advancing redefinition by the deadline. Realistic shifts would demand an unprecedented emergency IAU consensus, improbable given historical stability and focus on exoplanet refinements. Watch IAU statements for any movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日冥王星は6月30日までに惑星に再分類されましたか？
冥王星は6月30日までに惑星に再分類されましたか？
はい
$21,343 Vol.
$21,343 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$21,343 Vol.
$21,343 Vol.
2026/06/30
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.2% that Pluto will not be reclassified as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) longstanding 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—a criterion Pluto fails amid Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman's April 28 Senate testimony advocating a review and new scientific papers to challenge the status quo, yet NASA lacks authority over IAU classifications, with no scheduled IAU votes, assemblies, or proposals advancing redefinition by the deadline. Realistic shifts would demand an unprecedented emergency IAU consensus, improbable given historical stability and focus on exoplanet refinements. Watch IAU statements for any movement.
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$21,343終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.2% that Pluto will not be reclassified as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) longstanding 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—a criterion Pluto fails amid Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman's April 28 Senate testimony advocating a review and new scientific papers to challenge the status quo, yet NASA lacks authority over IAU classifications, with no scheduled IAU votes, assemblies, or proposals advancing redefinition by the deadline. Realistic shifts would demand an unprecedented emergency IAU consensus, improbable given historical stability and focus on exoplanet refinements. Watch IAU statements for any movement.
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
音量
$21,343終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.2% that Pluto will not be reclassified as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) longstanding 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—a criterion Pluto fails amid Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman's April 28 Senate testimony advocating a review and new scientific papers to challenge the status quo, yet NASA lacks authority over IAU classifications, with no scheduled IAU votes, assemblies, or proposals advancing redefinition by the deadline. Realistic shifts would demand an unprecedented emergency IAU consensus, improbable given historical stability and focus on exoplanet refinements. Watch IAU statements for any movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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