SpaceX’s 2026 launch total is driven primarily by sustained Falcon 9 cadence targeting 140–145 missions, supported by rapid booster reuse rates exceeding 30 flights per vehicle and dense Starlink replenishment schedules. As of mid-August, roughly 95–97 Falcon-family launches have occurred, maintaining a pace consistent with company guidance from Gwynne Shotwell while leaving room for regulatory, weather, or range constraints to influence the final count. Starship orbital test flights, if they achieve reliable cadence later in the year, could push totals into the upper 150s or low 160s, explaining the market’s concentration on the 140–179 brackets. Upcoming milestones include continued bi-weekly Falcon operations and Starship flight-test windows that traders will monitor for schedule slips or accelerations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年にSpaceXは何回打ち上げられますか?
140~159 54.6%
160〜179 38%
120〜139 7.6%
180~199 5.8%
$325,412 Vol.
$325,412 Vol.
100未満
1%
100~119
2%
120〜139
8%
140~159
55%
160〜179
38%
180~199
6%
200回以上
5%
140~159 54.6%
160〜179 38%
120〜139 7.6%
180~199 5.8%
$325,412 Vol.
$325,412 Vol.
100未満
1%
100~119
2%
120〜139
8%
140~159
55%
160〜179
38%
180~199
6%
200回以上
5%
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
マーケット開始日: Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s 2026 launch total is driven primarily by sustained Falcon 9 cadence targeting 140–145 missions, supported by rapid booster reuse rates exceeding 30 flights per vehicle and dense Starlink replenishment schedules. As of mid-August, roughly 95–97 Falcon-family launches have occurred, maintaining a pace consistent with company guidance from Gwynne Shotwell while leaving room for regulatory, weather, or range constraints to influence the final count. Starship orbital test flights, if they achieve reliable cadence later in the year, could push totals into the upper 150s or low 160s, explaining the market’s concentration on the 140–179 brackets. Upcoming milestones include continued bi-weekly Falcon operations and Starship flight-test windows that traders will monitor for schedule slips or accelerations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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