Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble runs of the GFS and ECMWF models cluster the expected daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 16 at 15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal air mass and moderate southerly flow are suppressing daytime heating below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, while variable cloud cover introduces the 1–2 °C uncertainty range that keeps 14 °C and 16 °C within striking distance at 25.5 % and 20.0 %. Afternoon SMN updates and real-time observations at the resolution stations will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast or shifts within that narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月16日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
5月16日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
15℃ 36%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13℃ 11.6%
新規
$15,514 Vol.
新規
$15,514 Vol.
2026/05/16
10℃以下
<1%
11℃
1%
12°C
2%
13℃
12%
14°C
22%
15℃
36%
16°C
20%
17°C
4%
18℃
1%
19°C
1%
20°C以上
<1%
15℃ 36%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13℃ 11.6%
新規
$15,514 Vol.
新規
$15,514 Vol.
2026/05/16
10℃以下
$2,503 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$627 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,176 Vol.
2%
13℃
$547 Vol.
12%
14°C
$1,109 Vol.
22%
15℃
$1,068 Vol.
36%
16°C
$1,185 Vol.
20%
17°C
$1,825 Vol.
4%
18℃
$2,434 Vol.
1%
19°C
$668 Vol.
1%
20°C以上
$2,374 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble runs of the GFS and ECMWF models cluster the expected daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 16 at 15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal air mass and moderate southerly flow are suppressing daytime heating below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, while variable cloud cover introduces the 1–2 °C uncertainty range that keeps 14 °C and 16 °C within striking distance at 25.5 % and 20.0 %. Afternoon SMN updates and real-time observations at the resolution stations will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast or shifts within that narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$15,514終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble runs of the GFS and ECMWF models cluster the expected daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 16 at 15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal air mass and moderate southerly flow are suppressing daytime heating below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, while variable cloud cover introduces the 1–2 °C uncertainty range that keeps 14 °C and 16 °C within striking distance at 25.5 % and 20.0 %. Afternoon SMN updates and real-time observations at the resolution stations will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast or shifts within that narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$15,514終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble runs of the GFS and ECMWF models cluster the expected daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 16 at 15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal air mass and moderate southerly flow are suppressing daytime heating below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, while variable cloud cover introduces the 1–2 °C uncertainty range that keeps 14 °C and 16 °C within striking distance at 25.5 % and 20.0 %. Afternoon SMN updates and real-time observations at the resolution stations will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast or shifts within that narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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