The close spread among 13°C–15°C outcomes reflects ensemble forecasts from models like the ECMWF and GFS showing a typical mid-autumn setup for Buenos Aires, with a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds capping daytime heating near seasonal averages. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing and any weak frontal boundary create the narrow range, as these subtle synoptic shifts can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official station readings from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the exact peak, highlighting how short-term atmospheric variability drives tight market pricing for daily temperature events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
14°C 33%
15°C 28%
13°C 23%
16°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
23%
14°C
33%
15°C
28%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 33%
15°C 28%
13°C 23%
16°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
23%
14°C
33%
15°C
28%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The close spread among 13°C–15°C outcomes reflects ensemble forecasts from models like the ECMWF and GFS showing a typical mid-autumn setup for Buenos Aires, with a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds capping daytime heating near seasonal averages. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing and any weak frontal boundary create the narrow range, as these subtle synoptic shifts can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official station readings from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the exact peak, highlighting how short-term atmospheric variability drives tight market pricing for daily temperature events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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