Latest European model runs and German Weather Service guidance point to a daily maximum near 13°C in Munich today, driven by a persistent cool northerly flow and extensive low-level cloud cover that has kept solar heating minimal. This setup has held daytime readings 4–5°C below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C. With the resolution window now open and no rapid warming expected before sunset, the 13°C bracket holds the clearest edge while adjacent 12°C and 14°C outcomes remain competitive depending on exact peak timing. Forecasters note stable atmospheric conditions through the afternoon, limiting upside surprise potential.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 51%
12°C 28%
14°C 24%
15°C 1.5%
$24,788 Vol.
$24,788 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
28%
13°C
51%
14°C
24%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 51%
12°C 28%
14°C 24%
15°C 1.5%
$24,788 Vol.
$24,788 Vol.
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
28%
13°C
51%
14°C
24%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest European model runs and German Weather Service guidance point to a daily maximum near 13°C in Munich today, driven by a persistent cool northerly flow and extensive low-level cloud cover that has kept solar heating minimal. This setup has held daytime readings 4–5°C below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C. With the resolution window now open and no rapid warming expected before sunset, the 13°C bracket holds the clearest edge while adjacent 12°C and 14°C outcomes remain competitive depending on exact peak timing. Forecasters note stable atmospheric conditions through the afternoon, limiting upside surprise potential.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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