Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Munich likely experiencing a mild spring air mass on May 18, with daytime maximum temperatures centered near 19°C under variable cloud cover. Model consensus places the most probable outcome between 18°C and 20°C, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon solar heating versus modest northerly flow that could limit warming. Mid-May climatology for the region averages 17–18°C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal due to a transient high-pressure ridge. Key variables that will determine the exact peak include the timing of any scattered showers and boundary-layer mixing; updated high-resolution model runs expected in the next 24 hours should narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 21%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
21%
19°C
34%
20°C
29%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 21%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
21%
19°C
34%
20°C
29%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Munich likely experiencing a mild spring air mass on May 18, with daytime maximum temperatures centered near 19°C under variable cloud cover. Model consensus places the most probable outcome between 18°C and 20°C, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon solar heating versus modest northerly flow that could limit warming. Mid-May climatology for the region averages 17–18°C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal due to a transient high-pressure ridge. Key variables that will determine the exact peak include the timing of any scattered showers and boundary-layer mixing; updated high-resolution model runs expected in the next 24 hours should narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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