Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF project an overnight low near 10°C in Paris on May 17 at the Le Bourget reference station, driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 10°C and 11°C outcomes. A moderating northerly flow combined with building high pressure supports moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, following a brief cool spell earlier in the week. Daytime highs are expected to recover to 18–19°C, limiting further nocturnal temperature drops. Model spreads introduce uncertainty between 9°C and 11°C ranges, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the designated station before the 12:00 UTC deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のパリの最低気温は?
11°C 32%
10℃ 28%
9℃ 12%
8℃ <1%
2°C以下
<1%
3℃
<1%
4℃
<1%
5℃
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
1%
9℃
12%
10℃
28%
11°C
32%
12°C以上
<1%
11°C 32%
10℃ 28%
9℃ 12%
8℃ <1%
2°C以下
<1%
3℃
<1%
4℃
<1%
5℃
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
1%
9℃
12%
10℃
28%
11°C
32%
12°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF project an overnight low near 10°C in Paris on May 17 at the Le Bourget reference station, driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 10°C and 11°C outcomes. A moderating northerly flow combined with building high pressure supports moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, following a brief cool spell earlier in the week. Daytime highs are expected to recover to 18–19°C, limiting further nocturnal temperature drops. Model spreads introduce uncertainty between 9°C and 11°C ranges, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the designated station before the 12:00 UTC deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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