Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles currently cluster Seoul’s May 17 overnight minimum near 14–15 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge delivering mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling after recent daytime peaks of 24–27 °C. Residual boundary-layer heat from the prior warmth limits further drops, keeping the distribution tightly focused between 13 °C and 16 °C. Any afternoon cloud buildup could trap heat and nudge the low upward toward 15–16 °C, while fuller clearing and calmer conditions would favor the lower end near 13–14 °C. Traders are weighting these model consensus signals heavily, with the 14 °C outcome dominating market-implied odds amid typical mid-May spring variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のソウルの最低気温は?
14°C 98.0%
13°C 4.0%
12℃以下 <1%
15°C <1%
$12,046 Vol.
$12,046 Vol.
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
98%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃以上
<1%
14°C 98.0%
13°C 4.0%
12℃以下 <1%
15°C <1%
$12,046 Vol.
$12,046 Vol.
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
98%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles currently cluster Seoul’s May 17 overnight minimum near 14–15 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge delivering mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling after recent daytime peaks of 24–27 °C. Residual boundary-layer heat from the prior warmth limits further drops, keeping the distribution tightly focused between 13 °C and 16 °C. Any afternoon cloud buildup could trap heat and nudge the low upward toward 15–16 °C, while fuller clearing and calmer conditions would favor the lower end near 13–14 °C. Traders are weighting these model consensus signals heavily, with the 14 °C outcome dominating market-implied odds amid typical mid-May spring variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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