Latest Met Office ensemble forecasts for London on May 17 point to an overnight minimum near 9°C, shaped by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight alongside a mild southwesterly airflow that limits deeper chill. This positions the 9–11°C outcomes as the tightest cluster in trader pricing because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical May minima for the city average 8–10°C, yet current model runs show slightly warmer guidance than climatology due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic. With resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the London weather center, any last-minute forecast update from the Met Office could quickly reprice the 10°C versus 11°C probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のロンドンの最低気温は？
5月17日のロンドンの最低気温は？
10°C 25%
11°C 25%
9°C 22%
12℃以上 9%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
2°C以下
<1%
3℃
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6℃
1%
7℃
1%
8°C
6%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12℃以上
9%
10°C 25%
11°C 25%
9°C 22%
12℃以上 9%
新規
新規
2026/05/17
2°C以下
$64 Vol.
<1%
3℃
$231 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$95 Vol.
1%
5°C
$101 Vol.
1%
6℃
$288 Vol.
1%
7℃
$309 Vol.
1%
8°C
$167 Vol.
6%
9°C
$50 Vol.
22%
10°C
$83 Vol.
25%
11°C
$74 Vol.
25%
12℃以上
$323 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office ensemble forecasts for London on May 17 point to an overnight minimum near 9°C, shaped by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight alongside a mild southwesterly airflow that limits deeper chill. This positions the 9–11°C outcomes as the tightest cluster in trader pricing because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical May minima for the city average 8–10°C, yet current model runs show slightly warmer guidance than climatology due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic. With resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the London weather center, any last-minute forecast update from the Met Office could quickly reprice the 10°C versus 11°C probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
音量
$1,776終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office ensemble forecasts for London on May 17 point to an overnight minimum near 9°C, shaped by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight alongside a mild southwesterly airflow that limits deeper chill. This positions the 9–11°C outcomes as the tightest cluster in trader pricing because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical May minima for the city average 8–10°C, yet current model runs show slightly warmer guidance than climatology due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic. With resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the London weather center, any last-minute forecast update from the Met Office could quickly reprice the 10°C versus 11°C probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,776終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETLatest Met Office ensemble forecasts for London on May 17 point to an overnight minimum near 9°C, shaped by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight alongside a mild southwesterly airflow that limits deeper chill. This positions the 9–11°C outcomes as the tightest cluster in trader pricing because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical May minima for the city average 8–10°C, yet current model runs show slightly warmer guidance than climatology due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic. With resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the London weather center, any last-minute forecast update from the Met Office could quickly reprice the 10°C versus 11°C probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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