Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,031 Vol.
$20,031 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,031 Vol.
$20,031 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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