PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook for Port Area in Metro Manila forecasts a high of 35°C on May 15 amid partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, anchoring trader consensus around 35°C (35%) and 36°C (33%) outcomes. The tight race reflects uncertainty in convective cloud cover, which could cap peak diurnal heating at 35°C or permit 36°C if showers remain minimal, allowing fuller solar insolation during the dry season's high sun angle. Low soil moisture and urban heat island effects in Manila boost potential for 34–37°C, consistent with May climatology (averages ~34°C) and recent heat index warnings exceeding 42°C. Watch PAGASA's daily updates and global model ensembles for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
36°C 37%
35°C 32%
34°C 22%
37°C 5.3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
25%
35°C
32%
36°C
37%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 37%
35°C 32%
34°C 22%
37°C 5.3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
25%
35°C
32%
36°C
37%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook for Port Area in Metro Manila forecasts a high of 35°C on May 15 amid partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, anchoring trader consensus around 35°C (35%) and 36°C (33%) outcomes. The tight race reflects uncertainty in convective cloud cover, which could cap peak diurnal heating at 35°C or permit 36°C if showers remain minimal, allowing fuller solar insolation during the dry season's high sun angle. Low soil moisture and urban heat island effects in Manila boost potential for 34–37°C, consistent with May climatology (averages ~34°C) and recent heat index warnings exceeding 42°C. Watch PAGASA's daily updates and global model ensembles for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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