Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at the market-resolution Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature reached 14°C by mid-afternoon on May 13, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome amid cooling evening conditions. Breezy winds and increasing cloud cover, as forecasted by DWD and ECMWF models, suppress further warming potential in the remaining daylight hours, aligning with a broader cool air mass over southern Germany that has kept highs below seasonal norms of 17–19°C. While an improbable late-afternoon clearing could enable brief solar heating to 15°C, current atmospheric stability and short-term model runs indicate negligible risk, with final DWD daily records expected to affirm resolution shortly after midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on May 13?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 13?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$87,324 Vol.
$87,324 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$87,324 Vol.
$87,324 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at the market-resolution Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature reached 14°C by mid-afternoon on May 13, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome amid cooling evening conditions. Breezy winds and increasing cloud cover, as forecasted by DWD and ECMWF models, suppress further warming potential in the remaining daylight hours, aligning with a broader cool air mass over southern Germany that has kept highs below seasonal norms of 17–19°C. While an improbable late-afternoon clearing could enable brief solar heating to 15°C, current atmospheric stability and short-term model runs indicate negligible risk, with final DWD daily records expected to affirm resolution shortly after midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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