Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 31°C or below in Beijing on May 15 (84% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting a maximum of 31°C under overcast skies with light easterly breezes and lows around 19°C. This reflects a cooling trend from recent highs near 33-34°C on May 13-14 amid persistent sunny conditions, as an incoming frontal system introduces widespread cloud cover and potential evening showers that will limit daytime solar heating and peak temperatures. Mid-May climatology typically sees Beijing highs averaging 27-29°C, with current model runs from the China Meteorological Administration showing minimal risk of significant warming due to reduced insolation. Official measurements from Beijing's observatory will resolve the market by day's end, though short-term forecasts carry some uncertainty from evolving cloud patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 15?
31°C or below 86%
32°C 9%
33°C 6%
34°C <1%
新規
$28,106 Vol.
新規
$28,106 Vol.
2026/05/15
31°C or below
86%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 86%
32°C 9%
33°C 6%
34°C <1%
新規
$28,106 Vol.
新規
$28,106 Vol.
2026/05/15
31°C or below
$3,749 Vol.
86%
32°C
$1,982 Vol.
9%
33°C
$4,616 Vol.
6%
34°C
$3,665 Vol.
1%
35°C
$3,114 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,123 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,437 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,819 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,866 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 31°C or below in Beijing on May 15 (84% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting a maximum of 31°C under overcast skies with light easterly breezes and lows around 19°C. This reflects a cooling trend from recent highs near 33-34°C on May 13-14 amid persistent sunny conditions, as an incoming frontal system introduces widespread cloud cover and potential evening showers that will limit daytime solar heating and peak temperatures. Mid-May climatology typically sees Beijing highs averaging 27-29°C, with current model runs from the China Meteorological Administration showing minimal risk of significant warming due to reduced insolation. Official measurements from Beijing's observatory will resolve the market by day's end, though short-term forecasts carry some uncertainty from evolving cloud patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$28,106終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 31°C or below in Beijing on May 15 (84% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting a maximum of 31°C under overcast skies with light easterly breezes and lows around 19°C. This reflects a cooling trend from recent highs near 33-34°C on May 13-14 amid persistent sunny conditions, as an incoming frontal system introduces widespread cloud cover and potential evening showers that will limit daytime solar heating and peak temperatures. Mid-May climatology typically sees Beijing highs averaging 27-29°C, with current model runs from the China Meteorological Administration showing minimal risk of significant warming due to reduced insolation. Official measurements from Beijing's observatory will resolve the market by day's end, though short-term forecasts carry some uncertainty from evolving cloud patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$28,106終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 31°C or below in Beijing on May 15 (84% implied probability), driven by the latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting a maximum of 31°C under overcast skies with light easterly breezes and lows around 19°C. This reflects a cooling trend from recent highs near 33-34°C on May 13-14 amid persistent sunny conditions, as an incoming frontal system introduces widespread cloud cover and potential evening showers that will limit daytime solar heating and peak temperatures. Mid-May climatology typically sees Beijing highs averaging 27-29°C, with current model runs from the China Meteorological Administration showing minimal risk of significant warming due to reduced insolation. Official measurements from Beijing's observatory will resolve the market by day's end, though short-term forecasts carry some uncertainty from evolving cloud patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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