National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 point to a daily high near 74°F at Midway Airport under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15–20 mph, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong agreement among recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, which show a Midwest upper-level ridge supporting warm southerly advection amid an established warming trend, with the prior two days already reaching 67–74°F. NOAA climatology places the May 16 normal high at 70.6°F, providing further context for the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected northward surge of cooler Canadian air or a stalled frontal boundary that could increase cloud cover and showers, though current steering patterns and low ensemble spread render sub-56°F results highly improbable; morning NWS updates will supply final guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 100.0%
$32,695 Vol.
$32,695 Vol.
2026/05/16
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 100.0%
$32,695 Vol.
$32,695 Vol.
2026/05/16
56°F or higher
$6,299 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 point to a daily high near 74°F at Midway Airport under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15–20 mph, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong agreement among recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, which show a Midwest upper-level ridge supporting warm southerly advection amid an established warming trend, with the prior two days already reaching 67–74°F. NOAA climatology places the May 16 normal high at 70.6°F, providing further context for the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected northward surge of cooler Canadian air or a stalled frontal boundary that could increase cloud cover and showers, though current steering patterns and low ensemble spread render sub-56°F results highly improbable; morning NWS updates will supply final guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$32,695終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 point to a daily high near 74°F at Midway Airport under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15–20 mph, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong agreement among recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, which show a Midwest upper-level ridge supporting warm southerly advection amid an established warming trend, with the prior two days already reaching 67–74°F. NOAA climatology places the May 16 normal high at 70.6°F, providing further context for the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected northward surge of cooler Canadian air or a stalled frontal boundary that could increase cloud cover and showers, though current steering patterns and low ensemble spread render sub-56°F results highly improbable; morning NWS updates will supply final guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$32,695終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 point to a daily high near 74°F at Midway Airport under partly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds of 15–20 mph, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong agreement among recent GFS and ECMWF model runs, which show a Midwest upper-level ridge supporting warm southerly advection amid an established warming trend, with the prior two days already reaching 67–74°F. NOAA climatology places the May 16 normal high at 70.6°F, providing further context for the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected northward surge of cooler Canadian air or a stalled frontal boundary that could increase cloud cover and showers, though current steering patterns and low ensemble spread render sub-56°F results highly improbable; morning NWS updates will supply final guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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