National Weather Service forecast guidance and real-time observations at Miami International Airport point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F tonight, reflecting the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bracket. Persistent subtropical high pressure over South Florida is suppressing radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures in the upper 70s maintain a warm boundary layer, consistent with mid-May climatology that places typical overnight lows between 72°F and 76°F. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF shows only modest nocturnal drops under light southerly flow, with no fronts or dry-air intrusions expected before sunrise. A late-evening wind shift or unforecast clear-sky enhancement could still nudge readings into the upper 60s, though such deviations remain low-probability outliers given current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
72～73°F 99.7%
70-71°F <1%
67°F以下 <1%
68〜69°F <1%
$26,152 Vol.
$26,152 Vol.
2026/05/15
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72～73°F
100%
72～73°F 99.7%
70-71°F <1%
67°F以下 <1%
68〜69°F <1%
$26,152 Vol.
$26,152 Vol.
2026/05/15
67°F以下
$973 Vol.
<1%
68〜69°F
$890 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,655 Vol.
1%
72～73°F
$2,546 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast guidance and real-time observations at Miami International Airport point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F tonight, reflecting the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bracket. Persistent subtropical high pressure over South Florida is suppressing radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures in the upper 70s maintain a warm boundary layer, consistent with mid-May climatology that places typical overnight lows between 72°F and 76°F. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF shows only modest nocturnal drops under light southerly flow, with no fronts or dry-air intrusions expected before sunrise. A late-evening wind shift or unforecast clear-sky enhancement could still nudge readings into the upper 60s, though such deviations remain low-probability outliers given current conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
音量
$26,152終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast guidance and real-time observations at Miami International Airport point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F tonight, reflecting the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bracket. Persistent subtropical high pressure over South Florida is suppressing radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures in the upper 70s maintain a warm boundary layer, consistent with mid-May climatology that places typical overnight lows between 72°F and 76°F. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF shows only modest nocturnal drops under light southerly flow, with no fronts or dry-air intrusions expected before sunrise. A late-evening wind shift or unforecast clear-sky enhancement could still nudge readings into the upper 60s, though such deviations remain low-probability outliers given current conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$26,152終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETNational Weather Service forecast guidance and real-time observations at Miami International Airport point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F tonight, reflecting the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bracket. Persistent subtropical high pressure over South Florida is suppressing radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures in the upper 70s maintain a warm boundary layer, consistent with mid-May climatology that places typical overnight lows between 72°F and 76°F. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF shows only modest nocturnal drops under light southerly flow, with no fronts or dry-air intrusions expected before sunrise. A late-evening wind shift or unforecast clear-sky enhancement could still nudge readings into the upper 60s, though such deviations remain low-probability outliers given current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問