Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston's high temperature on May 16 centered near 87°F, with guidance split between mid-80s under increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects versus upper-80s if daytime heating strengthens. Recent runs reflect typical late-spring variability in the region, where Gulf moisture and weak steering winds create narrow uncertainty bands around the normal May high of 87°F. This scientific ambiguity—differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave energy—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher, with traders weighting official updates through the afternoon observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
86-87°F 43%
88°F or higher 39%
84-85°F 13%
82-83°F 3.5%
新規
$24,344 Vol.
新規
$24,344 Vol.
2026/05/16
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
43%
88°F or higher
39%
86-87°F 43%
88°F or higher 39%
84-85°F 13%
82-83°F 3.5%
新規
$24,344 Vol.
新規
$24,344 Vol.
2026/05/16
69°F or below
$2,386 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,319 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$3,797 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,484 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,352 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$494 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,174 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,216 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$2,091 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$1,109 Vol.
43%
88°F or higher
$922 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston's high temperature on May 16 centered near 87°F, with guidance split between mid-80s under increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects versus upper-80s if daytime heating strengthens. Recent runs reflect typical late-spring variability in the region, where Gulf moisture and weak steering winds create narrow uncertainty bands around the normal May high of 87°F. This scientific ambiguity—differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave energy—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher, with traders weighting official updates through the afternoon observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$24,344終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston's high temperature on May 16 centered near 87°F, with guidance split between mid-80s under increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects versus upper-80s if daytime heating strengthens. Recent runs reflect typical late-spring variability in the region, where Gulf moisture and weak steering winds create narrow uncertainty bands around the normal May high of 87°F. This scientific ambiguity—differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave energy—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher, with traders weighting official updates through the afternoon observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$24,344終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service show Houston's high temperature on May 16 centered near 87°F, with guidance split between mid-80s under increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects versus upper-80s if daytime heating strengthens. Recent runs reflect typical late-spring variability in the region, where Gulf moisture and weak steering winds create narrow uncertainty bands around the normal May high of 87°F. This scientific ambiguity—differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave energy—explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher, with traders weighting official updates through the afternoon observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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