Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 12°C (45%) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol today, reflecting strong alignment across KNMI's latest outlook, HARMONIE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks of 11–13°C amid a lingering cold front and persistent northerly airflow that caps daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–17°C. Scattered showers, moderate cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation from overnight thunderstorms have limited warming, with early morning observations hovering around 8–9°C under overcast skies. Brief clearings could nudge probabilities toward 13°C, but uncertainty persists in final hourly measurements; watch KNMI updates and Schiphol Airport data through evening for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
12°C 44%
13°C 32%
11°C 19%
14°C 8.3%
$32,343 Vol.
$32,343 Vol.
11°C
19%
12°C
44%
13°C
32%
14°C
8%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 44%
13°C 32%
11°C 19%
14°C 8.3%
$32,343 Vol.
$32,343 Vol.
11°C
19%
12°C
44%
13°C
32%
14°C
8%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 12°C (45%) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol today, reflecting strong alignment across KNMI's latest outlook, HARMONIE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks of 11–13°C amid a lingering cold front and persistent northerly airflow that caps daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–17°C. Scattered showers, moderate cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation from overnight thunderstorms have limited warming, with early morning observations hovering around 8–9°C under overcast skies. Brief clearings could nudge probabilities toward 13°C, but uncertainty persists in final hourly measurements; watch KNMI updates and Schiphol Airport data through evening for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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