Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies place Wuhan’s May 17 maximum temperature near 28–29 °C, reflecting late-spring warming in the Yangtze River basin under subtropical high-pressure influence. Mid-May climatology shows daily highs typically spanning 26–30 °C, with 28 °C near the median; modest differences between 28 °C and 29 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and potential weak frontal passages that could suppress or enhance surface heating. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add roughly 1–2 °C locally, while precipitation timing—still ahead of the main plum-rain onset—introduces the main uncertainty. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の武漢の最高気温は?
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
25%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
25%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies place Wuhan’s May 17 maximum temperature near 28–29 °C, reflecting late-spring warming in the Yangtze River basin under subtropical high-pressure influence. Mid-May climatology shows daily highs typically spanning 26–30 °C, with 28 °C near the median; modest differences between 28 °C and 29 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and potential weak frontal passages that could suppress or enhance surface heating. Urban heat-island effects in the city center add roughly 1–2 °C locally, while precipitation timing—still ahead of the main plum-rain onset—introduces the main uncertainty. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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