Recent forecast consensus from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to partly cloudy skies over Taipei tomorrow, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30 °C as the most probable outcome. Subtropical May conditions, with strengthening southerly flow ahead of the Meiyu frontal season, allow modest solar heating while elevated humidity and scattered showers limit further warming. Model runs show modest spread in cloud timing and thickness that directly separates the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C bins, with only isolated convective cells expected to push readings into the low 30s. Historical May climatology places the typical high near 28 °C, so traders are pricing the narrow window between seasonal norms and any brief clearing that could add 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact ceiling before the market closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の台北の最高気温は?
29°C 28%
30°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
28%
30°C
27%
31°C
21%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
30°C 27%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
28%
30°C
27%
31°C
21%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast consensus from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to partly cloudy skies over Taipei tomorrow, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30 °C as the most probable outcome. Subtropical May conditions, with strengthening southerly flow ahead of the Meiyu frontal season, allow modest solar heating while elevated humidity and scattered showers limit further warming. Model runs show modest spread in cloud timing and thickness that directly separates the 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C bins, with only isolated convective cells expected to push readings into the low 30s. Historical May climatology places the typical high near 28 °C, so traders are pricing the narrow window between seasonal norms and any brief clearing that could add 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact ceiling before the market closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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