Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C because short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects an afternoon peak in that narrow band beneath a building Pacific subtropical ridge. This synoptic setup favors partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong diurnal heating over Taipei’s urban heat island, consistent with Central Weather Administration mid-May climatology that places average daily maxima near 29–31°C. Minor differences in boundary-layer humidity and the timing of any sea-breeze front create the even split among the top three outcomes, while the low odds assigned to values below 28°C or above 33°C reflect the limited chance of either enhanced convection or an unexpected frontal intrusion before the May 18 observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日の台北の最高気温は?
29°C 20%
30°C 19%
31°C 18%
32°C 16%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
14%
30°C
19%
31°C
18%
32°C
16%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
4%
29°C 20%
30°C 19%
31°C 18%
32°C 16%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
14%
30°C
19%
31°C
18%
32°C
16%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C because short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects an afternoon peak in that narrow band beneath a building Pacific subtropical ridge. This synoptic setup favors partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong diurnal heating over Taipei’s urban heat island, consistent with Central Weather Administration mid-May climatology that places average daily maxima near 29–31°C. Minor differences in boundary-layer humidity and the timing of any sea-breeze front create the even split among the top three outcomes, while the low odds assigned to values below 28°C or above 33°C reflect the limited chance of either enhanced convection or an unexpected frontal intrusion before the May 18 observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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