Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum of 25–26 °C in Chongqing on May 17, with light rain and persistent low-level moisture limiting surface heating while southerly flow advects modest warmth. This consensus produces the market’s tight clustering around 24 °C and 25 °C, each at 28.5 % implied probability, as differences hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and afternoon cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by one degree. Historical May averages near 26 °C provide climatological context, yet today’s guidance shows slightly cooler conditions than recent days, with final model runs overnight expected to refine precipitation timing and wind strength ahead of resolution at the Jiangbei International Airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の重慶の最高気温は?
24°C 30%
25°C 29%
26°C 16%
23°C 14.0%
$12,178 Vol.
$12,178 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
30%
25°C
29%
26°C
16%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 30%
25°C 29%
26°C 16%
23°C 14.0%
$12,178 Vol.
$12,178 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
30%
25°C
29%
26°C
16%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum of 25–26 °C in Chongqing on May 17, with light rain and persistent low-level moisture limiting surface heating while southerly flow advects modest warmth. This consensus produces the market’s tight clustering around 24 °C and 25 °C, each at 28.5 % implied probability, as differences hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and afternoon cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by one degree. Historical May averages near 26 °C provide climatological context, yet today’s guidance shows slightly cooler conditions than recent days, with final model runs overnight expected to refine precipitation timing and wind strength ahead of resolution at the Jiangbei International Airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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