Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical models have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong daytime insolation across the Sichuan Basin under typical late-spring conditions. Moderate humidity and light winds are limiting convective cooling, while basin topography can trap heat and create small model spreads between 28°C and 30°C. These tight probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and cloud cover, with the next China Meteorological Administration model update likely to clarify whether afternoon heating pushes the high into the upper range or holds it near the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の成都の最高気温は?
29°C 30%
28°C 26%
30°C 17%
27°C 10%
$20,019 Vol.
$20,019 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
26%
29°C
30%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 30%
28°C 26%
30°C 17%
27°C 10%
$20,019 Vol.
$20,019 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
26%
29°C
30%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical models have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong daytime insolation across the Sichuan Basin under typical late-spring conditions. Moderate humidity and light winds are limiting convective cooling, while basin topography can trap heat and create small model spreads between 28°C and 30°C. These tight probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and cloud cover, with the next China Meteorological Administration model update likely to clarify whether afternoon heating pushes the high into the upper range or holds it near the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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